Ufc fight night 54 betting predictions

His power won the day by my view, scoring knock downs in both the first and third rounds. That was not enough for two of the incompetent judges however, and he lost a split decision. I was sure he was going to crack do Bronx as he had been cracked in each of his last two fights.

I was sure Gaethje would not let him off the hook when he did. Painfully, I was also sure Gaethje was not going to botch a scramble as I have never seen him do so. I was correct on Gaethje cracking do Bronx. Gaethje knocked him down twice in the first round, but opted to avoid ground and pound and a potential finish for hear of being submitted… which did not work out.

Gaethje was ultimately knocked down himself. He then gave his back in a scramble and was submitted. Apologies for the dud, we will be back on track this week. Those fights also account for two of our wagers. Main Event The main event brings us a light heavyweight bout featuring fighters at the top of the division.

Former champion Jan Blachowicz is actually an underdog to Aleksander Rakic. Rakic sits as a favorite. The younger Rakic is certainly the more mobile, quicker and athletic of the two fighters at this juncture. Rakic will look to keep the fight standing, and start it out with using his powerful leg kicks to slow the movement of Blachowicz. Rakic is not overly defensively responsible in the striking, but he has not yet been made to pay for it in the UFC. If we are honest, Rakic has not been overly exciting since he started receiving more quality opponents.

None of those fights turned out to be head turners by any means, and I believe we get more of the same on Saturday. Blachowicz will be the slower fighter in the striking, and it will not work out for him in the standup early in the fight. He will be the better conditioned fighter should the fight get to deep water, and that is more likely than not by my view.

Blachowicz is not the better wrestler, but he does have the superior BJJ skill set. A smart game plan for him would be selling out for takedowns early in the fight. Landing even one takedown could steal a round and slow the more athletic Rakic thereafter. In totality, for fighters ranked as highly as these two are, the fight is somewhat underwhelming. Rakic is the rightfully favored fighter, and the line is quite a fair one.

I do not see value on either side, so this is a good main event to sit out of from a betting perspective. Co-Main Event The co-main event is also in the light heavyweight division. Ribas, on the other hand, has a more recent loss to her resume: a letdown against Marina Rodriguez at UFC And yet, we can't bring ourselves to be concerned about Ribas here. For starters, she's working off a victory over Virna Jandiroba at UFC , one that she took all the way to a decision. But Ribas is also just the better all-around option.

While her power levels are similar to those of Chookagian, she is the more accurate striker, better at takedowns and the superior vertical defender. Bettors should take the otherworldly stamina of Chookagian seriously. She will not be thrown by a longer fight and maintains her strength and explosion into the latter rounds. That still isn't enough to pick her over the deeper bag of tricks employed by Ribas—not in our book anyway. Alan Patrick? Johnson has dropped four straight matches while Patrick has been on the wrong side of a decision in his last three.

Some might see Patrick's decision losses as a bonus here. Johnson is the fighter who has been knocked out and eliminated early more often. That's not everything, though. He has faced a higher level of competition during his losing streak and has also hit on a higher percentage of his combination attempts. Since joining the UFC, she is landing 5. But Jandiroba, for all her shortcomings in technique, boasts unparalleled power.

So few fighters are as good at exploiting cross-body openings when their opponents go on the offensive. Based off past results and fighting styles, Hill is just the type of fighter who's at risk of an early knockout when going up against Jandiroba. Louis Smolka and Davey Grant approach their offense with near-identical strategies, reach and strength. They are both likewise skilled at fending off combinations while on their back foot. The difference for us is Grant's ceiling as a wrestler.

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