Value investing forum india

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In the first approach one is making a bet on a specific scenario which may not occur, leading to sub-par results. In the second case, we may end up with sub-par returns too but only because prices will adjust once all the uncertainty goes away.

We paid a price for being conservative. It could have easily gone the other way and in that scenario, the second group would be highlighting the merits of being cautious, whereas the first group would be silent. I personally avoid taking a specific view of how the future will unfold. The risk of doing so is high, if you get it wrong. If you are managing money for others like me , then the risk is asymmetrical.

If you get it right, you can tout your performance. If not, then your investors bear the brunt I continue to stand by my conservative approach, though I should have reacted faster when all central banks pumped in a huge amount of liquidity into the system.

By the time, I could appreciate the dynamics, it was too late I have been following this drama closely and by mid of , felt it was getting crazy. Valuations of profitless growth companies in the US went through the roof, Crypto was all rage and then we had the NFTs.

Some of these innovations could change the future, but why would I pay for a promise? On the contrary at height of the mania, buyers were paying for the most optimistic future The last one year has reminded me of the dotcom mania. I had just started investing and resisted the mania for a long time, but finally succumbed to it in early when the bubble peaked.

I have stayed away from all this madness and just watched it with amusement. You can see all the updates on my twitter feed rohitchauhan When the tide goes out I created a presentation last year but did not upload it then for some reason.

The investing world has gotten so used to this zero cost capital, that even a slight increase would be devastating to most assets Although I could not forecast inflation and other macro issues, it was clear than any normalization or even reduction in the liquidity was going to be a problem for the market We know what has happened since then — Inflation has surged due to war, supply shortage of commodities and all kind of supply chain issue The net result is that interest rates are rising and have some distance to go.

A virtual forum. Although there are a lot of Indian share market and business forums out there on the web, almost all of them are for traders. All the calls made in such forums are for a meager profit of Rs. Moreover, a stop-loss would be advised at Rs.

You make only your stock broker rich! Has anyone gotten rich trading in stocks? You get rich only by investing in good businesses. So, only the traders or momentum investors who invest based on charts and technicals will be interested in such calls. Just to make a paltry sum as profit. Anyway not us, value investors, who are in pursuit of buying an asset worth a rupee for fifty paise. I intend something unique. A free forum, where the discussion is to be purely on the merits, business opportunities, fundamentals, business valuation, and intrinsic values of businesses; not the charts, technicals, or momentum.

Out of the retail participation, only a very few retail investors follow the value investment approach. Unlike other countries, in India shares are the only asset that swings wildly from significant undervalue to hyperinflated prices compared to other assets like real estate or gold. However, retail investors are not exploiting this marvelous opportunity of grabbing an asset for a price significantly lesser than its intrinsic value.

Retail investors usually jump into the bandwagon at the peak of a bull market, burn their fingers, and will stay away until the next bull market.